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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
TJ Danilek 14.9% 13.5% 14.9% 14.2% 13.6% 11.2% 7.7% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 13.0% 13.1% 13.6% 14.2% 12.3% 11.8% 10.0% 6.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Carolina Cassedy 5.8% 3.9% 6.6% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 11.3% 13.2% 18.2% 12.8% 5.0% 0.7%
Megan Ploch 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 7.0% 7.4% 10.7% 11.2% 13.5% 14.3% 15.5% 6.9% 1.5%
Scott Harris 23.5% 20.7% 15.9% 13.2% 11.2% 6.2% 4.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
David Beaudry 6.1% 8.1% 8.5% 7.5% 8.3% 13.3% 12.4% 12.7% 13.0% 7.6% 2.3% 0.2%
Christian Koules 9.0% 10.0% 9.8% 10.3% 11.9% 9.3% 12.6% 11.2% 9.8% 3.7% 2.2% 0.2%
Richard McCann 16.5% 15.1% 12.6% 12.1% 11.9% 11.4% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0%
David Manley 5.2% 7.4% 9.1% 10.5% 10.8% 11.4% 12.0% 13.9% 11.8% 6.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Nick Baker 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 2.6% 3.8% 5.0% 7.6% 12.1% 24.0% 23.9% 12.1%
Amanda Heckler 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 3.0% 3.0% 5.9% 12.7% 30.5% 39.3%
Dalton Edeker 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 0.4% 1.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.2% 12.7% 26.0% 45.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.