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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.14+3.19vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.99+2.43vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.95+3.87vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+3.19vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.29+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.53-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07-3.76vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.28-3.06vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.15-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.96-0.47vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-1.06-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.43Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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6.87Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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7.19Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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3.31North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.08University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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5.45University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Miami2.070.2%1st Place
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5.94University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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9.13Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.65Florida State University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Danilek | 14.9% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Megan Ploch | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Scott Harris | 23.5% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Christian Koules | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Richard McCann | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Baker | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 24.0% | 23.9% | 12.1% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 30.5% | 39.3% |
| Dalton Edeker | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 12.7% | 26.0% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.