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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.86+3.31vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.17+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.82+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.04+2.26vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.00+3.54vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.38-2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.38-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72-1.02vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-0.95vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.67-2.98vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.34-0.03vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-0.36-3.48vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-3.40-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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3.65Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
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4.41University of South Florida1.820.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Miami1.040.0%1st Place
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8.54North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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3.24Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.3University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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6.98University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.05Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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7.02Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.52Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.75Rollins College-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Resto | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 20.1% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Krohn | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Marcom | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 23.8% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Mary James | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 51.6% | 8.5% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 27.8% | 19.1% | 1.3% |
| Corinne Keogh | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 7.0% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.