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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.17+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.38+2.84vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+4.13vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.04+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.82-2.07vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00+0.66vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-0.36+0.42vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.67-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-1.89vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-3.40-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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7.13Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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2.84Florida State University2.380.3%1st Place
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5.56University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
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3.93University of South Florida1.820.2%1st Place
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7.66North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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8.42Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.29Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.22University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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11.71Rollins College-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Ratcliff | 22.0% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 27.4% | 25.0% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Krohn | 15.7% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Marcom | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 0.7% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 1.7% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary James | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 54.4% | 10.1% |
| Corinne Keogh | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 7.6% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.