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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.17+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.82+1.97vs Predicted
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3Auburn University-0.36+5.44vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.38+0.85vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.00+2.77vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+1.19vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.04-2.56vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-6.24vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72-3.78vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-3.40+0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.34-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Eckerd College2.170.2%1st Place
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3.97University of South Florida1.820.1%1st Place
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8.44Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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7.77North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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7.19Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.29Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
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2.76Florida State University2.380.3%1st Place
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6.22University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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11.7Rollins College-3.400.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Ratcliff | 20.7% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Krohn | 13.5% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 27.5% | 17.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Snyder | 7.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Marcom | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 0.7% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 29.6% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Corinne Keogh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 7.5% | 87.4% |
| Mary James | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 51.7% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.