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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.82+2.78vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.17+1.06vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.72+2.42vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.38-0.26vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.17-0.73vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.67-0.61vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-0.36+0.91vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.34+0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.93-4.99vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-0.23-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of South Florida1.820.2%1st Place
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3.06Eckerd College2.170.3%1st Place
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6.62Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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6.42University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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5.27North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.39Rollins College0.670.1%1st Place
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8.91Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.38Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Miami0.930.1%1st Place
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8.78Florida State University-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Krohn | 18.5% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 26.6% | 22.8% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Ian Street | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Snyder | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Bailey | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nate Barrett | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 16.4% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Mary James | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 58.0% |
| Dominic Canonico | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Kaufman | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.