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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.99+3.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.62+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.79+0.22vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.02+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.70+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.34+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.34-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.36-1.74vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.28-3.53vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-0.40-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.54Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Victoria1.790.2%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.49University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Victoria0.340.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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6.47University of British Columbia0.280.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Reeves | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 20.7% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Robert Berry | 24.0% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Elisha Allen | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Evan Medsger | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
| Aaron Scull | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% |
| David Eva | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% |
| Sean Fleming | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| Samuel Maritz | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.