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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Reeves 11.8% 11.1% 13.8% 10.7% 13.4% 10.2% 10.7% 8.9% 6.3% 3.1%
Ashley Vincent 20.7% 18.3% 17.1% 13.7% 10.3% 8.6% 5.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3%
Robert Berry 24.0% 20.5% 15.4% 14.6% 11.8% 6.0% 4.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Alex Waldron 10.5% 13.3% 12.3% 11.0% 14.4% 11.8% 10.4% 7.7% 6.0% 2.6%
Elisha Allen 8.9% 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 11.5% 14.3% 11.9% 10.9% 9.7% 5.6%
Evan Medsger 7.3% 5.7% 6.6% 8.6% 7.8% 11.4% 12.3% 12.8% 15.3% 12.2%
Aaron Scull 4.0% 6.4% 7.6% 9.0% 9.2% 10.8% 14.1% 12.7% 14.1% 12.1%
David Eva 4.8% 7.0% 7.8% 10.0% 7.9% 9.8% 12.3% 16.0% 13.0% 11.4%
Sean Fleming 5.5% 5.8% 6.1% 8.7% 9.0% 10.5% 10.0% 14.5% 16.7% 13.2%
Samuel Maritz 2.5% 3.1% 4.7% 3.9% 4.7% 6.6% 8.0% 10.7% 16.3% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.