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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.28+8.21vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+6.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.34+5.90vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+5.11vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+7.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.85+1.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.56vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.89+6.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.37+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.12vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.68-3.73vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.38-3.19vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.58-3.92vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.89-7.46vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-2.99vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.67-4.41vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.42-4.39vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.21-4.15vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-6.95vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.13-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.285.9%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.487.4%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.345.9%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.405.9%1st Place
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12.59University of Miami1.932.7%1st Place
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7.05Yale University2.859.7%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.6%1st Place
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14.46Connecticut College0.891.7%1st Place
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9.87Brown University2.375.2%1st Place
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10.12University of Pennsylvania2.165.1%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University2.688.6%1st Place
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8.81College of Charleston2.385.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston College2.586.0%1st Place
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6.54Stanford University2.8910.3%1st Place
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12.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.452.8%1st Place
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11.59Tufts University1.673.6%1st Place
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12.61University of Rhode Island1.422.2%1st Place
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13.85Cornell University1.212.1%1st Place
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12.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.2%1st Place
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17.23University of Wisconsin0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Peter Busch | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Reade Decker | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| John Eastman | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 10.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.