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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.17+4.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.72+4.44vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.82+0.76vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.67+2.57vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.17-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.38-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.93-1.19vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.23+0.57vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.67-2.61vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.34-0.25vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-0.36-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.44University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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3.76University of South Florida1.820.2%1st Place
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6.57Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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3.11Eckerd College2.170.3%1st Place
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4.76University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Miami0.930.1%1st Place
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8.57Florida State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.39Rollins College0.670.1%1st Place
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7.43Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.04Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Street | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Ethan Krohn | 18.7% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 26.2% | 23.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dominic Canonico | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Michael Kaufman | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 12.4% |
| Nate Barrett | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 4.6% |
| Mary James | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 60.1% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 27.3% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.