← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mateo Rodriguez 27.0% 21.3% 17.5% 12.0% 8.7% 7.2% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Connor Ratcliff 19.5% 19.1% 17.7% 15.2% 11.2% 8.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 15.8% 15.0% 16.0% 14.6% 16.0% 10.6% 7.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Nate Barrett 2.9% 5.0% 6.0% 8.0% 9.1% 12.4% 16.2% 18.0% 17.4% 5.0%
Ethan Krohn 13.6% 15.7% 14.2% 16.1% 14.5% 10.5% 8.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Matthew Snyder 9.6% 10.5% 10.5% 11.5% 14.9% 13.8% 12.3% 10.7% 5.7% 0.5%
Ian Street 3.8% 4.6% 6.6% 8.7% 8.6% 12.5% 17.4% 17.3% 15.9% 4.6%
Theodore Goldenberg 2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 10.9% 10.2% 17.8% 28.6% 9.7%
Carrie Marshall 4.3% 4.5% 6.7% 7.5% 8.6% 11.6% 14.8% 18.5% 18.7% 4.8%
Mary James 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 5.3% 10.4% 74.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.