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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ethan Krohn 14.6% 15.5% 13.9% 14.1% 13.4% 12.6% 8.7% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Connor Ratcliff 20.1% 18.8% 16.0% 16.1% 12.1% 8.5% 4.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Theodore Goldenberg 3.1% 3.7% 3.5% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 10.7% 19.6% 27.9% 10.8%
Mateo Rodriguez 24.5% 21.0% 18.0% 14.2% 11.3% 6.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 16.2% 15.4% 17.9% 15.7% 12.7% 11.1% 6.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Matthew Snyder 9.1% 10.0% 11.6% 10.8% 14.0% 14.8% 12.8% 10.4% 5.8% 0.7%
Carrie Marshall 3.3% 4.6% 5.6% 7.6% 10.2% 12.1% 16.8% 18.7% 16.2% 4.9%
Ian Street 4.2% 5.5% 7.7% 7.3% 8.8% 11.9% 17.5% 17.7% 16.5% 2.9%
Nate Barrett 4.3% 4.8% 5.6% 7.0% 8.9% 12.5% 16.1% 17.3% 19.3% 4.2%
Mary James 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 4.9% 9.5% 75.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.