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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Ratcliff 27.1% 21.6% 18.1% 11.8% 9.8% 6.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2%
Theodore Goldenberg 4.9% 3.9% 5.1% 7.0% 7.1% 11.5% 15.4% 18.9% 19.0% 7.2%
Ethan Krohn 17.6% 17.3% 16.2% 15.4% 14.3% 9.7% 5.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 19.0% 21.3% 19.4% 15.6% 10.4% 7.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Matthew Snyder 12.6% 11.2% 13.5% 14.7% 15.2% 13.3% 11.2% 5.0% 3.1% 0.2%
Michael Kaufman 3.0% 3.4% 3.1% 3.7% 5.2% 9.1% 8.8% 16.4% 29.1% 18.2%
Carrie Marshall 4.9% 6.1% 7.5% 9.6% 12.7% 14.3% 16.5% 15.0% 10.0% 3.4%
Ian Street 5.0% 7.5% 9.1% 9.7% 11.5% 12.7% 16.6% 15.6% 10.2% 2.1%
Nate Barrett 5.1% 7.1% 7.3% 10.4% 12.0% 12.2% 15.0% 17.0% 11.0% 2.9%
Mary James 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 2.1% 1.8% 3.1% 3.9% 5.3% 16.1% 65.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.