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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Ratcliff 27.0% 22.9% 16.0% 14.3% 9.2% 6.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Snyder 11.3% 11.7% 14.7% 13.1% 14.3% 14.5% 10.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.5%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 21.0% 17.9% 17.8% 16.8% 13.0% 6.5% 4.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 4.8% 6.0% 8.5% 9.8% 11.4% 13.9% 15.2% 16.3% 11.1% 3.0%
Theodore Goldenberg 4.0% 5.7% 5.7% 8.0% 7.2% 9.5% 14.9% 20.1% 18.8% 6.1%
Ethan Krohn 19.3% 17.8% 16.2% 15.9% 12.3% 9.3% 5.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Nate Barrett 4.5% 6.2% 8.1% 8.6% 12.6% 15.8% 16.0% 14.0% 11.3% 2.9%
Ian Street 5.4% 7.7% 9.1% 8.0% 11.7% 14.0% 15.4% 15.8% 9.6% 3.3%
Mary James 0.7% 1.3% 0.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 4.4% 5.9% 14.2% 66.8%
Michael Kaufman 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.3% 8.1% 11.7% 14.4% 30.3% 17.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.