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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+5.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+7.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+4.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.85+2.02vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.21+7.75vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.89+7.78vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.34-0.06vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.38-0.96vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.58-2.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.21vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.68-5.35vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.55vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-5.91vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.93-3.22vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.67-5.30vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.42-5.59vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.13-1.84vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Stanford University2.8911.3%1st Place
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9.61Brown University2.375.8%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.5%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University2.486.2%1st Place
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7.02Yale University2.8510.2%1st Place
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13.75Cornell University1.212.2%1st Place
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14.78Connecticut College0.891.7%1st Place
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10.12University of Pennsylvania2.164.8%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College2.346.2%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston2.385.6%1st Place
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8.69Boston College2.586.0%1st Place
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11.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.2%1st Place
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7.65Tulane University2.687.4%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy2.285.5%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University2.406.4%1st Place
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12.78University of Miami1.932.8%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University1.673.2%1st Place
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12.41University of Rhode Island1.422.6%1st Place
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17.16University of Wisconsin0.130.4%1st Place
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11.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Chase Decker | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Busch | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| John Eastman | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 47.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.