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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Reeves 12.2% 11.8% 12.0% 11.5% 12.1% 12.3% 9.8% 9.0% 6.0% 3.3%
Alex Waldron 11.6% 9.8% 13.2% 12.7% 12.9% 12.4% 9.5% 8.9% 7.0% 2.0%
Robert Berry 24.0% 19.9% 15.2% 15.2% 11.9% 6.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Ashley Vincent 19.1% 19.5% 18.1% 14.4% 11.0% 7.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Elisha Allen 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 10.0% 12.3% 12.1% 13.2% 10.4% 9.6% 5.9%
Sean Fleming 6.8% 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% 9.1% 10.3% 12.4% 13.5% 15.9% 13.3%
Aaron Scull 4.2% 6.4% 7.5% 8.7% 8.5% 12.3% 13.5% 12.6% 14.4% 11.9%
Evan Medsger 4.8% 7.3% 7.7% 9.5% 7.9% 10.2% 11.4% 16.9% 12.9% 11.4%
David Eva 6.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.0% 9.7% 10.5% 11.7% 13.6% 14.8% 12.4%
Samuel Maritz 2.2% 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 6.4% 8.2% 10.0% 16.9% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.