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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.99+3.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.02+2.81vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.79+0.24vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.62-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.70+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.28+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.34-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.34-2.74vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.36-3.71vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.40-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Victoria1.790.2%1st Place
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3.5Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.48University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.41University of British Columbia0.280.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Victoria0.340.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Reeves | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Alex Waldron | 11.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Robert Berry | 24.0% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 19.1% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Elisha Allen | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Sean Fleming | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 13.3% |
| Aaron Scull | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.9% |
| Evan Medsger | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% |
| David Eva | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Maritz | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.