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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+6.55vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+6.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+3.62vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+4.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40-0.68vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+0.39vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-3.68vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.90-1.82vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-5.34vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-2.42vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.49-6.67vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-3.99vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.32Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.53Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Nothacker | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.1% |
| Talia Toland | 11.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Dana Haig | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.