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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+5.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+3.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+3.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+1.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+3.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.90+2.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-1.52vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+1.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32+0.12vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-2.51vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.75-3.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-5.04vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-4.74vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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5.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.26Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.53Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Emma Marston | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Dana Haig | 12.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 10.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.