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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+2.49vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.99+2.88vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.02+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.34+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.28+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.34+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.70-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.79-5.87vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.36-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.40-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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6.39University of British Columbia0.280.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Victoria0.340.1%1st Place
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5.52University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Victoria1.790.3%1st Place
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6.25University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 22.3% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Reeves | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Alex Waldron | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Aaron Scull | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| Sean Fleming | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% |
| Evan Medsger | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 12.0% |
| Elisha Allen | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Robert Berry | 25.7% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| David Eva | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.7% |
| Samuel Maritz | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.