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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+6.05vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+6.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+5.82vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.34+4.90vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37+3.82vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.16+3.09vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.89-1.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.27vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-0.95vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.68-3.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.80vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.38-4.15vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-0.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-2.86vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.21-2.25vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.93-4.40vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-6.40vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College0.89-4.05vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.13-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Yale University2.859.7%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University2.487.6%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.585.7%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.346.2%1st Place
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11.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.4%1st Place
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9.82Brown University2.374.8%1st Place
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10.09University of Pennsylvania2.164.6%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University2.8910.3%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Naval Academy2.285.0%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.405.9%1st Place
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7.32Tulane University2.689.4%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.6%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston2.386.8%1st Place
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13.08Tufts University1.431.8%1st Place
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12.14University of Rhode Island1.422.9%1st Place
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13.75Cornell University1.212.5%1st Place
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12.6University of Miami1.932.5%1st Place
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11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.4%1st Place
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14.95Connecticut College0.891.7%1st Place
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17.08University of Wisconsin0.130.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Chase Decker | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Reade Decker | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Flores | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.