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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+5.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+3.89vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.90+4.99vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+4.59vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+1.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+4.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55+1.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79-0.60vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-4.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.31vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-5.23vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-2.69vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.40-1.41vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.47Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.3Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.46Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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12.59Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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8.28Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Marston | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Talia Toland | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| Dana Haig | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.2% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 15.3% | 46.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.