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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.32+8.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+3.23vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+5.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+6.07vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.49+1.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30+0.72vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+1.28vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.90-1.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-5.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.11vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-6.34vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-4.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.28Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.54Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 11.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Emma Marston | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Dana Haig | 10.9% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Talia Toland | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.