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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+5.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+4.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+3.60vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+4.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+0.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+2.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.90+0.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82-0.68vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.36vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.55-1.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.09vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.49-6.70vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-3.94vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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8.32Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.52Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Talia Toland | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Emma Marston | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 12.4% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.