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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+5.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+3.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.90+4.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+0.37vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.32+2.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55+1.28vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75-0.49vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.27vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.69-6.43vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-4.36vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-3.88vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.28Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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12.52Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 10.9% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.