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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.49+5.01vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+6.31vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.55+6.22vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.56vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75+3.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+4.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.90+0.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-3.40vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82-2.64vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.40+0.87vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-7.35vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.30-7.38vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.87Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Dana Haig | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% |
| Talia Toland | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emma Marston | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 49.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.