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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+5.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.82+5.28vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.90+3.17vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.75+2.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.65vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49-1.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.50vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55-0.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-2.51vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.69-6.42vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.40-0.28vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-3.92vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.28Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.72Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Emma Marston | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 48.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.