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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+4.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+4.18vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+4.55vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+1.71vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-0.33vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.40+4.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49-3.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.82-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.90-2.90vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-3.25vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.55-3.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-3.91vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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12.6Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.47Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Talia Toland | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Dana Haig | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 47.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Emma Marston | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.0% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.