Race 5B

west-canada-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Reeves 11.8% 11.2% 12.2% 12.9% 12.5% 10.3% 10.6% 8.3% 6.6% 3.6%
Sean Fleming 7.0% 5.2% 4.9% 8.7% 9.7% 9.0% 10.5% 14.7% 16.2% 14.1%
Ashley Vincent 19.3% 19.4% 17.0% 12.6% 12.1% 9.6% 4.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Aaron Scull 4.8% 6.8% 5.9% 9.5% 10.2% 10.5% 13.5% 12.2% 14.2% 12.4%
David Eva 6.8% 6.5% 7.8% 7.9% 8.1% 10.7% 12.2% 14.9% 14.5% 10.6%
Samuel Maritz 3.2% 3.2% 4.6% 4.7% 4.1% 6.2% 8.5% 9.7% 16.8% 39.0%
Evan Medsger 5.0% 5.1% 7.0% 8.3% 10.6% 11.7% 12.4% 14.1% 14.7% 11.1%
Elisha Allen 6.9% 10.3% 11.5% 8.8% 10.5% 13.2% 12.3% 11.3% 9.4% 5.8%
Robert Berry 25.2% 20.2% 15.3% 14.3% 10.8% 6.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Alex Waldron 10.0% 12.1% 13.8% 12.3% 11.4% 12.3% 10.7% 8.9% 5.5% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.