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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+8.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+6.85vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.68+4.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+2.97vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37+3.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.71vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.38+0.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.43+2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42+0.42vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.58-4.10vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.13+3.10vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.48-7.02vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.93-3.48vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.40-7.94vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.89-11.38vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College0.89-4.42vs Predicted
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20Cornell University1.21-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.83University of Pennsylvania2.165.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.345.7%1st Place
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7.42Tulane University2.689.8%1st Place
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6.97Yale University2.859.4%1st Place
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11.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.792.9%1st Place
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9.84Brown University2.374.8%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.5%1st Place
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11.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.7%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston2.386.7%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy2.286.0%1st Place
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13.02Tufts University1.432.8%1st Place
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12.42University of Rhode Island1.422.5%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.585.1%1st Place
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17.1University of Wisconsin0.130.7%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.487.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University2.406.3%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University2.899.6%1st Place
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14.58Connecticut College0.891.6%1st Place
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13.79Cornell University1.211.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Chase Decker | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flores | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Peter Busch | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 47.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Reade Decker | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 15.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.