← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.40+5.27vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.30+4.53vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+4.59vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.82+4.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.60vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.90+2.13vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.75+1.52vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.69-2.61vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+1.08vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.55-0.56vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.79-2.50vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.49-5.76vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.32-2.68vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-8.47vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.40-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.27Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
6.53Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
-
8.34Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.6University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.13University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
-
8.52Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.39Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.44Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
8.5Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.24Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
10.32Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
12.51Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emma Marston | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 9.7% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 14.1% |
| Dana Haig | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.