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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+6.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+4.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+6.08vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+3.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69-0.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-0.41vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+0.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-3.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.40+1.58vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32-1.64vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.90-5.95vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.55-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.38Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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12.58Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Nothacker | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Talia Toland | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 11.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Dana Haig | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 45.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 11.9% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Emma Marston | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.