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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+5.60vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.82+6.18vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.62vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+2.54vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.75+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.90+0.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.53vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-2.24vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32-0.91vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-1.60vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-7.37vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-4.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.52Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Emma Marston | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 12.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.