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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+6.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+4.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+1.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+3.64vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15+0.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.52-1.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55+0.39vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30-3.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.11-0.16vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.77-0.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-1.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.84-2.24vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.08-1.45vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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4.15Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.17Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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12.55Boston University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 18.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carina Becker | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| Madeline Kaller | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% |
| Gabriella Schmidt | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 39.4% |
| Grace Gear | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.