← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.89+3.15vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+8.39vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.03+3.61vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.84+6.56vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+2.68vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.55+2.41vs Predicted
-
7Boston University0.08+5.49vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.52-2.71vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.77-1.45vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.15-3.56vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.11-1.18vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.77-0.89vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.30-6.90vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.89-6.86vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.15Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
-
10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
-
6.61Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.56Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
8.41Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
12.49Boston University0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.29Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
7.55Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.44University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
9.82Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.11Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
6.1Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.14University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
-
6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 19.2% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kaller | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 11.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 13.4% |
| Lulu Russell | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Carina Becker | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Gabriella Schmidt | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 39.9% |
| Payton Thompson | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Gear | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.