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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.24vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+3.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+0.19vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+4.75vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.77+4.84vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03-0.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-0.34vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.52-3.85vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.84+0.68vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.55-2.59vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.08+0.84vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-6.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.19Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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5.15Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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10.68Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.84Boston University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 17.5% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 13.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lulu Russell | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Payton Thompson | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% |
| Carina Becker | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Gabriella Schmidt | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 43.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Grace Gear | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kaller | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.