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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+5.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+4.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+1.46vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.55+2.36vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03-0.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.52-2.77vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.84+1.62vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.11-0.18vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-5.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-1.21vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.08-0.26vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.77-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.17Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.23Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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12.74Boston University0.080.0%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Lulu Russell | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 18.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Carina Becker | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 11.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.6% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kaller | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% |
| Gabriella Schmidt | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 46.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 14.0% |
| Grace Gear | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.