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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.99+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.79+1.20vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.62+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.34+2.35vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.02-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.28-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound0.36-2.68vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.40-2.19vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.70-5.54vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.34-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Victoria1.790.3%1st Place
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3.54Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.35University of Victoria0.340.0%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.4University of British Columbia0.280.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.46University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Reeves | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Robert Berry | 25.7% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 19.0% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Evan Medsger | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% |
| Alex Waldron | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Sean Fleming | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
| David Eva | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Samuel Maritz | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 38.4% |
| Elisha Allen | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Aaron Scull | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.