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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+8.00vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.68+5.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+5.82vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.34+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+7.37vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.89+0.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+5.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.03+1.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42+3.15vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.38-3.31vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.85-6.03vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.16-4.02vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-6.19vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-4.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-5.46vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.89-3.47vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.13-2.05vs Predicted
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20Cornell University1.18-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.0%1st Place
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7.06Tulane University2.689.5%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.585.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.346.6%1st Place
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12.37University of Miami1.933.0%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University2.8910.6%1st Place
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12.61Tufts University1.432.2%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.285.7%1st Place
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10.69Brown University2.034.5%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University2.488.3%1st Place
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14.15University of Rhode Island1.421.8%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston2.385.5%1st Place
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6.97Yale University2.8510.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Pennsylvania2.164.2%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.405.9%1st Place
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11.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.5%1st Place
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11.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.4%1st Place
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14.53Connecticut College0.891.8%1st Place
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16.95University of Wisconsin0.130.7%1st Place
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13.94Cornell University1.181.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Chase Decker | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Reade Decker | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Martins Atilla | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 10.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 43.9% |
| Pilar Cundey | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.