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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Reeves 12.0% 12.1% 12.8% 11.9% 11.0% 11.5% 9.8% 8.9% 7.2% 2.8%
Robert Berry 25.7% 19.6% 17.2% 12.2% 10.1% 6.9% 4.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Ashley Vincent 19.0% 18.5% 17.1% 15.0% 11.7% 8.5% 6.1% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Evan Medsger 4.7% 6.6% 6.0% 8.6% 10.4% 10.6% 12.7% 15.1% 13.6% 11.7%
Alex Waldron 11.4% 11.3% 12.7% 12.4% 13.5% 12.8% 9.9% 6.7% 6.7% 2.6%
Sean Fleming 7.1% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 9.0% 10.3% 11.2% 13.3% 14.9% 14.8%
David Eva 4.1% 6.6% 7.3% 8.9% 9.4% 11.5% 12.8% 14.5% 13.0% 11.9%
Samuel Maritz 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.4% 5.7% 6.1% 8.1% 11.2% 16.3% 38.4%
Elisha Allen 8.6% 9.6% 7.8% 12.0% 11.2% 11.7% 12.7% 10.9% 10.3% 5.2%
Aaron Scull 5.0% 6.6% 8.7% 7.3% 8.0% 10.1% 12.4% 13.8% 16.0% 12.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.