Race 8B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Olivia Belda 19.0% 17.8% 13.5% 11.9% 10.1% 7.7% 6.6% 5.6% 2.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaila Pfrang 7.9% 11.3% 9.9% 9.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.7% 7.8% 7.0% 6.7% 5.2% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Carina Becker 5.1% 4.5% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.6% 8.4% 8.6% 9.1% 10.4% 6.6% 5.8% 2.3%
Payton Thompson 13.7% 12.7% 10.5% 10.6% 9.6% 10.4% 6.9% 7.5% 8.1% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Abbie Carlson 6.9% 6.2% 6.4% 5.5% 6.6% 6.7% 7.4% 9.1% 8.3% 9.7% 8.5% 7.3% 5.8% 4.1% 1.5%
Sarah Burn 9.9% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 11.2% 9.5% 9.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Lulu Russell 7.4% 5.3% 5.8% 6.4% 7.1% 6.8% 8.6% 9.8% 8.8% 8.2% 7.8% 6.2% 5.5% 5.0% 1.3%
Aili Moffet 2.7% 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.8% 5.6% 4.7% 5.5% 6.8% 7.9% 9.3% 11.0% 12.2% 12.4% 6.5%
Grace Gear 6.1% 6.1% 6.8% 9.7% 7.8% 8.4% 7.7% 8.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.0% 6.2% 4.7% 1.7% 0.9%
Ellie Maus 6.7% 6.8% 9.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 8.2% 9.0% 8.7% 6.4% 5.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
Rebecca Read 8.3% 10.1% 10.0% 9.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 6.9% 7.3% 5.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
Madeline Kaller 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 5.2% 6.6% 9.8% 10.4% 14.3% 14.3% 12.8%
Ashley Arruda 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 3.6% 2.8% 4.7% 6.2% 6.4% 11.0% 14.7% 16.9% 18.8%
Hailey Pemberton 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.4% 6.5% 9.6% 8.9% 13.8% 16.0% 14.1%
Gabriella Schmidt 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 5.1% 8.1% 9.1% 18.1% 39.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.