Race 11B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ellie Maus 8.7% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 7.6% 10.4% 7.6% 6.6% 9.8% 6.3% 6.0% 5.3% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2%
Kaila Pfrang 8.4% 10.9% 10.0% 10.3% 9.0% 7.1% 8.0% 8.6% 7.9% 6.3% 5.0% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Olivia Belda 19.0% 15.8% 14.3% 13.3% 9.9% 7.6% 7.9% 4.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carina Becker 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 5.2% 8.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 9.4% 9.0% 7.9% 6.5% 3.0%
Sarah Burn 10.3% 10.5% 8.7% 9.4% 10.5% 7.4% 9.5% 8.8% 7.2% 6.4% 3.8% 4.2% 1.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Grace Gear 6.4% 6.3% 7.9% 5.8% 7.4% 9.5% 9.1% 8.6% 9.2% 7.9% 6.9% 7.1% 4.4% 3.0% 0.5%
Aili Moffet 3.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.7% 4.1% 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% 7.0% 7.9% 10.8% 9.4% 11.8% 11.0% 8.6%
Rebecca Read 8.8% 9.0% 8.9% 9.0% 9.3% 8.3% 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 8.0% 6.9% 3.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.5%
Payton Thompson 12.1% 12.6% 10.9% 13.6% 9.7% 9.2% 8.3% 7.4% 6.2% 3.8% 2.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Madeline Kaller 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 4.6% 6.5% 6.1% 6.3% 8.8% 10.7% 12.6% 15.0% 12.6%
Abbie Carlson 5.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.0% 7.5% 6.9% 7.1% 8.7% 7.9% 7.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.6%
Morgan TerMaat 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 4.2% 3.0% 4.5% 4.6% 6.1% 6.7% 8.7% 9.6% 14.8% 15.3% 15.1%
Julia Wyatt 4.9% 6.0% 5.5% 5.7% 7.8% 6.0% 7.5% 8.8% 7.7% 9.5% 9.2% 7.3% 8.3% 4.0% 1.8%
Gabriella Schmidt 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 4.5% 5.7% 7.9% 9.4% 17.2% 39.8%
Hailey Pemberton 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 2.2% 3.2% 3.7% 3.6% 4.8% 5.1% 7.8% 6.4% 11.0% 11.9% 17.3% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.