Race 15B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Rebecca Read 9.6% 7.3% 10.4% 8.2% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 6.4% 7.8% 6.4% 5.2% 5.9% 4.0% 2.0% 1.0%
Aili Moffet 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 4.1% 6.1% 6.2% 8.2% 6.1% 9.4% 8.8% 11.5% 13.6% 8.3%
Hailey Pemberton 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 5.0% 7.0% 5.7% 9.7% 13.8% 18.1% 16.5%
Abbie Carlson 6.0% 5.6% 6.9% 6.2% 7.5% 7.2% 6.8% 7.3% 7.1% 9.1% 8.8% 7.8% 6.9% 4.4% 2.4%
Kaila Pfrang 9.0% 9.8% 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 9.0% 10.8% 7.2% 5.4% 3.9% 3.1% 2.9% 0.3%
Sarah Burn 9.9% 8.9% 9.5% 9.3% 9.3% 10.2% 9.2% 8.6% 7.2% 4.7% 5.9% 4.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Payton Thompson 12.6% 12.1% 9.6% 11.5% 11.2% 9.6% 6.7% 7.3% 5.8% 4.2% 3.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Emma AuBuchon 5.5% 5.3% 7.5% 5.4% 6.6% 7.3% 6.2% 9.6% 6.8% 7.1% 9.2% 8.1% 8.3% 4.8% 2.3%
Ellie Maus 6.4% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.3% 9.0% 9.0% 6.9% 7.0% 9.3% 6.7% 5.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Olivia Belda 17.3% 16.3% 14.2% 11.4% 9.7% 7.7% 8.0% 5.6% 3.6% 3.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia Wyatt 5.0% 6.8% 4.6% 8.4% 5.6% 8.4% 6.8% 5.7% 7.8% 8.8% 8.2% 8.5% 6.8% 5.7% 2.9%
Morgan TerMaat 2.0% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 2.3% 3.0% 4.6% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 7.7% 9.4% 13.4% 19.2% 15.7%
Carina Becker 4.0% 4.4% 5.8% 4.2% 6.0% 5.3% 5.7% 7.1% 7.7% 9.4% 9.9% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 3.2%
Grace Gear 6.5% 7.7% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.0% 6.8% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5%
Gabriella Schmidt 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 6.7% 10.1% 14.7% 44.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.