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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.62+2.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.69+2.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.74vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.08-1.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.21-0.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.99-0.93vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-4.75vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.18-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Dartmouth College2.620.3%1st Place
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4.9Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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3.87Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.25Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.88University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Simmons | 25.6% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 9.1% |
| Alex Abate | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 8.9% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 12.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 22.0% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 16.0% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.