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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+5.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+6.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+5.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+4.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.03+5.95vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38+2.97vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.68+0.23vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.89-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.11vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-2.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.43+1.62vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-0.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.71vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.89+0.50vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-3.51vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-7.23vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.93-4.60vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.18-4.23vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.13-1.90vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island1.42-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Yale University2.859.3%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.346.9%1st Place
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8.72Boston College2.587.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy2.285.9%1st Place
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10.95Brown University2.033.8%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston2.386.5%1st Place
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7.23Tulane University2.688.6%1st Place
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6.29Stanford University2.8910.7%1st Place
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10.11University of Pennsylvania2.164.7%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University2.487.0%1st Place
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12.62Tufts University1.432.9%1st Place
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11.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.792.8%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.1%1st Place
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14.5Connecticut College0.892.2%1st Place
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11.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.6%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.405.9%1st Place
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12.4University of Miami1.932.7%1st Place
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13.77Cornell University1.181.8%1st Place
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17.1University of Wisconsin0.130.8%1st Place
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13.8University of Rhode Island1.422.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Busch | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Pilar Cundey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 43.0% |
| Henry Lee | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.