← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.02+3.73vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.99+2.88vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria1.79+0.25vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.62-0.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.34+1.23vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia0.28+0.40vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound-0.40+0.94vs Predicted
-
9University of British Columbia0.70-3.55vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria0.34-3.68vs Predicted
-
11University of Puget Sound0.36-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.73Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.88Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
-
3.25University of Victoria1.790.2%1st Place
-
3.49Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
-
6.23University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
-
6.4University of British Columbia0.280.1%1st Place
-
7.94University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Victoria0.340.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Waldron | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Ian Reeves | 11.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Robert Berry | 23.8% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 19.8% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Aaron Scull | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 11.0% |
| Sean Fleming | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| Samuel Maritz | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 37.3% |
| Elisha Allen | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| Evan Medsger | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% |
| David Eva | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.