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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.62+1.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+4.29vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.75vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.69+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.18+2.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.24vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.08-3.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-4.79vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.21-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Dartmouth College2.620.3%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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4.59Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.21Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Simmons | 26.0% | 22.3% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 15.3% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 10.2% |
| Michael Tellini | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 56.7% |
| Alex Abate | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 14.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 22.1% | 22.4% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.