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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+4.29vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.69+1.78vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.08-1.13vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-0.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.21-1.37vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.62-4.97vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.18-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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4.78Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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3.87Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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3.03Dartmouth College2.620.3%1st Place
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7.89University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 22.1% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 14.9% |
| Michael Tellini | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Alex Abate | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 17.6% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 8.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 25.1% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.