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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.21+4.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.62+1.16vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+0.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+1.60vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.69-0.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.08-2.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-2.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.99-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.18-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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3.16Dartmouth College2.620.2%1st Place
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3.23Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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4.61Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
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3.93Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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6.09Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 9.3% |
| Noah Simmons | 21.2% | 24.5% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jonas Nelle | 23.7% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 8.1% |
| Michael Tellini | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Bryan Trammell | 15.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Alex Abate | 9.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 13.9% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.