← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+3.81vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.62+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.69+1.80vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.99+2.03vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.21+0.53vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.50-2.85vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-1.28vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-0.18-0.12vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.08-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
-
3.16Dartmouth College2.620.2%1st Place
-
4.8Dartmouth College1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.03Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.53Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
-
3.15Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
-
5.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
7.88University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
3.94Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Noah Simmons | 23.0% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Tellini | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 22.3% | 12.4% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 8.7% |
| Jonas Nelle | 22.7% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 61.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 15.4% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.