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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+1.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.50-0.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.64+0.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+0.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.43+0.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.3%1st Place
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3.48Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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2.81Dartmouth College2.500.3%1st Place
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4.33Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.29Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 26.8% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 17.1% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| James Paul | 26.3% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 25.4% |
| Bowton Eaves | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 38.7% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 13.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.