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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.50+1.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+1.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+2.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-1.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.43+1.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-0.96vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69-1.05vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.64-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Dartmouth College2.500.3%1st Place
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3.46Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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2.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.3%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.19Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 25.8% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 17.5% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| Crew Fritsch | 25.7% | 23.8% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Bowton Eaves | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 36.7% |
| Fiona McKellar | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 11.5% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 21.0% | 28.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 11.4% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.