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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.64+2.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.50-0.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13-0.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+0.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02-1.60vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.43-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.3%1st Place
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4.32Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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2.85Dartmouth College2.500.3%1st Place
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3.46Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.4Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 26.6% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.1% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| James Paul | 26.4% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 16.9% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 26.6% |
| Fiona McKellar | 7.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 11.9% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| Bowton Eaves | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.