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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.50+0.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.13+0.41vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.64+0.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.43+0.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.3%1st Place
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2.89Dartmouth College2.500.3%1st Place
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3.41Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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4.31Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 27.8% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| James Paul | 25.1% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 17.6% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 15.1% |
| Bowton Eaves | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 38.8% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 13.9% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.