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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.67vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.50+0.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+2.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13-0.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+0.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.87-0.57vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-2.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.43-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.3%1st Place
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2.74Dartmouth College2.500.3%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.29Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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5.19Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.43Dartmouth College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 28.6% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| James Paul | 26.8% | 24.5% | 20.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 21.1% | 24.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 18.5% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 13.1% |
| Eliza Crocker | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| Fiona McKellar | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% |
| Bowton Eaves | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.