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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.83vs Predicted
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22.31+2.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+1.81vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.57+0.66vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+3.82vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.28-2.51vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.57-1.82vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03-4.15vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.18-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.3%1st Place
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4.112.310.1%1st Place
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4.81Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.24Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.28Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.18Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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6.85Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.12University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 29.2% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 13.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 23.1% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maeve Glancy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 23.0% | 10.8% |
| Colin Snow | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 2.3% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 3.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 12.2% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 14.0% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.