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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.87+5.61vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+4.06vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.07+0.82vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10-0.15vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.64-1.03vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.17-1.11vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41-1.09vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73-2.26vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19-1.76vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Clemson University0.875.6%1st Place
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6.06North Carolina State University1.128.2%1st Place
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3.82College of Charleston2.0717.8%1st Place
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3.85Jacksonville University2.1019.7%1st Place
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4.69Old Dominion University1.5912.4%1st Place
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4.97University of Miami1.6412.8%1st Place
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5.89Eckerd College1.177.8%1st Place
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6.91Rollins College0.415.0%1st Place
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6.74Christopher Newport University0.735.3%1st Place
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8.24The Citadel0.192.6%1st Place
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8.22Hampton University0.722.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Mitchell Hnatt | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% |
Benjamin Usher | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 17.8% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Owen Bannasch | 19.7% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Diogo Silva | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
Steven Hardee | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Jordan Vieira | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 29.3% |
Stefano Palamara | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.