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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.79+2.18vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.02+2.82vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.99+0.91vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.62-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.70-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.34-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.40-0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound0.36-2.82vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.34-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.28-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Victoria1.790.3%1st Place
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4.82Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.49Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.43University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Washington0.340.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Puget Sound-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Puget Sound0.360.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Victoria0.340.1%1st Place
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6.48University of British Columbia0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Berry | 25.2% | 22.3% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Waldron | 11.3% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Ian Reeves | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 19.0% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elisha Allen | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Aaron Scull | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Maritz | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 37.7% |
| David Eva | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Evan Medsger | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.0% |
| Sean Fleming | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.