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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+2.27vs Predicted
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22.31+2.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+4.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.57+0.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-3.21vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.18+0.80vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.57-1.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.28-4.75vs Predicted
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12Bentley University1.03-4.79vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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4.092.310.1%1st Place
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4.81Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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2.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.3%1st Place
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8.27Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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6.25Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.21Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.15University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 22.9% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Palardy | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 29.0% | 24.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Maeve Glancy | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 25.4% | 9.6% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 23.6% | 10.7% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 5.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 14.6% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.