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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+3.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.57+2.64vs Predicted
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42.31-0.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75-1.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28+0.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.57+0.86vs Predicted
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8Bentley University1.03-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.46vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.59+0.90vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.18-2.28vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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2.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.3%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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3.992.310.1%1st Place
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3.15Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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6.78Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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9.93Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.9University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 29.5% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 13.7% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 23.3% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 14.3% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 58.9% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 10.8% |
| Maeve Glancy | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.