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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.31+3.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.76vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.37+7.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.57+1.63vs Predicted
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5Bentley University1.03+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+2.47vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-3.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-3.36vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.57-0.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.28-3.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.18-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.022.310.1%1st Place
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2.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.3%1st Place
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10.1Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.71Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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3.13Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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4.64Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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6.25Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.01University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ped | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 29.8% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Palardy | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 23.7% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Maeve Glancy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 8.4% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 9.6% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.